2014 MDL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.6991 KES

YEARLY LOW

5.7685 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.2856 KES

2014 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 6.6991. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 5.7685.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9306 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5465 to the December average rate of 5.8643, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 6.6991 was down 8.05% compared to the 2013 peak of 7.2856, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,496 KES

2013 Average 34,360 KES

Yearly Trough Low 28,842 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,653.07 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

6.6147

5.7961

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4312, compared to 6.1400 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2911 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4312

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.1400

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.2722 KES (High: 6.6991 / Low: 6.4269). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0870 KES (High: 6.1334 / Low: 6.0464).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2722

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0870

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1637 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1637

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 6.5465) against the same month in 2013 (average: 7.1667), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6202 (-8.65%).

2014 Avg (January) 6.5465

2013 Avg (January) 7.1667

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.6991	6.4269	6.5465
February	6.4299	6.3303	6.3910
March	6.5238	6.3283	6.4395
April	6.5268	6.4271	6.4765
May	6.4839	6.3444	6.4385
June	6.3606	6.2336	6.2949
July	6.3335	6.2439	6.2850
August	6.4372	6.3072	6.3749
September	6.3095	6.1336	6.2112
October	6.1334	6.0464	6.0875
November	6.0970	5.9619	6.0174
December	6.0138	5.7685	5.8643