YEARLY HIGH
7.2856 KES
YEARLY LOW
6.4882 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.8740 KES

2013 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 7.2856. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 8, dropping to 6.4882.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7975 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.1667 to the December average rate of 6.6738, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 7.2856 was down 1.69% compared to the 2012 peak of 7.4112, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,428 KES
2012 Average 34,928 KES
Yearly Trough Low 32,441 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,987.26 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

7.2806
6.5259
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9759, compared to 6.7721 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2038 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9759
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.7721

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was July, with a trading range of 0.4013 KES (High: 7.2322 / Low: 6.8308). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0872 KES (High: 6.8925 / Low: 6.8053).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.4013
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0872

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2626 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2626

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 7.2177) against the same month in 2012 (average: 7.0216), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1960 (+2.79%).

2013 Avg (February) 7.2177
2012 Avg (February) 7.0216

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.2785 7.1071 7.1667
February 7.2856 7.0170 7.2177
March 7.0587 6.8892 6.9551
April 6.8925 6.8053 6.8329
May 6.8684 6.7336 6.8058
June 6.9377 6.8119 6.8770
July 7.2322 6.8308 6.9993
August 6.9994 6.8462 6.8919
September 6.9331 6.6898 6.8252
October 6.7903 6.4882 6.5888
November 6.7001 6.6018 6.6537
December 6.8214 6.5733 6.6738