YEARLY HIGH
5.8280 KES
YEARLY LOW
4.8197 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.2377 KES

2015 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 5.8280. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 21, dropping to 4.8197.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0083 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4983 to the December average rate of 5.1827, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.8280 was down 13.00% compared to the 2014 peak of 6.6991, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,140 KES
2014 Average 31,426 KES
Yearly Trough Low 24,098 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,041.73 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.5554
4.8704
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2140, compared to 5.2614 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0475 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2140
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2614

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.7336 KES (High: 5.8280 / Low: 5.0944). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0982 KES (High: 5.1711 / Low: 5.0729).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.7336
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0982

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5708 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5708

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 5.4983) against the same month in 2014 (average: 6.5465), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0482 (-16.01%).

2015 Avg (January) 5.4983
2014 Avg (January) 6.5465

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8280 5.0944 5.4983
February 5.0915 4.8197 4.9275
March 5.1389 4.9262 4.9959
April 5.3048 5.0752 5.1892
May 5.4875 5.2285 5.3821
June 5.3941 5.1490 5.2909
July 5.4530 5.2279 5.3494
August 5.4585 5.3021 5.3992
September 5.4988 5.2194 5.3531
October 5.2613 5.0781 5.1662
November 5.1711 5.0729 5.1180
December 5.2290 5.1104 5.1827