2011 PEN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1055.7453 UGX

YEARLY LOW

823.3443 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

916.5595 UGX

2011 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 1055.7453. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 823.3443.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 232.4010 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 835.2409 to the December average rate of 908.6907, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.79% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1055.7453 was up 35.99% compared to the 2010 peak of 776.3155, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,278,726 UGX

2010 Average 3,627,554 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,116,721 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,162,005.04 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1045.6329

816.1144

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 855.8655, compared to 977.2536 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 121.3881 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 855.8655

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 977.2536

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 111.1067 UGX (High: 971.7565 / Low: 860.6498). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 18.6292 UGX (High: 850.1701 / Low: 831.5409).

June Spread (Volatile) ±111.1067

April Spread (Stable) ±18.6292

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 71.2511 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -71.2511

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1024.6995) against the same month in 2010 (average: 754.2479), the exchange rate shifted by +270.4516 (+35.86%).

2011 Avg (October) 1024.6995

2010 Avg (October) 754.2479

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	858.4667	823.3443	835.2409
February	861.3549	833.1160	846.5958
March	876.4043	852.9727	863.1280
April	850.1701	831.5409	842.4644
May	872.3724	838.0058	860.2297
June	971.7565	860.6498	887.5341
July	953.8540	923.9553	944.2525
August	1034.4994	953.7868	1005.9244
September	1039.4019	1016.2720	1026.5063
October	1055.7453	953.8446	1024.6995
November	973.4788	927.1553	953.4484
December	944.4955	875.7043	908.6907