YEARLY HIGH
1029.5100 UGX
YEARLY LOW
943.3796 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
995.8476 UGX

2023 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 17, valuing the pair at 1029.5100. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 6, dropping to 943.3796.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 86.1303 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 965.7099 to the December average rate of 1012.2234, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1029.5100 was up 0.21% compared to the 2022 peak of 1027.3601, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,147,550 UGX
2022 Average 4,813,838 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,716,898 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 430,651.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1023.0999
955.1088
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 989.9690, compared to 1001.7262 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 11.7572 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 989.9690
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1001.7262

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was November, with a trading range of 46.2754 UGX (High: 1023.5318 / Low: 977.2564). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.7185 UGX (High: 1022.8786 / Low: 1008.1602).

November Spread (Volatile) ±46.2754
June Spread (Stable) ±14.7185

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 26.4743 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -26.4743

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 1017.4340) against the same month in 2022 (average: 973.3299), the exchange rate shifted by +44.1041 (+4.53%).

2023 Avg (July) 1017.4340
2022 Avg (July) 973.3299

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 981.0891 943.9849 965.7099
February 979.1990 943.3796 960.7747
March 1008.2901 978.4488 989.3622
April 1014.7242 985.8125 996.2746
May 1029.0734 1003.3009 1011.6301
June 1022.8786 1008.1602 1016.0622
July 1029.5100 1003.9595 1017.4340
August 1017.1204 976.9580 997.0594
September 1009.6918 990.7092 1004.0566
October 992.9100 967.4394 977.5823
November 1023.5318 977.2564 1002.0015
December 1023.6533 998.8967 1012.2234