2015 PEN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1146.8161 UGX

YEARLY LOW

927.1236 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1015.7909 UGX

2015 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1146.8161. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 927.1236.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 219.6925 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 948.9323 to the December average rate of 995.0187, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1146.8161 was up 19.68% compared to the 2014 peak of 958.2498, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,734,081 UGX

2014 Average 4,575,406 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,635,618 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,098,462.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1159.9332

912.1095

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 959.6421, compared to 1071.9396 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 112.2975 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 959.6421

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1071.9396

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was November, with a trading range of 88.4068 UGX (High: 1083.0981 / Low: 994.6914). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.7497 UGX (High: 938.8733 / Low: 927.1236).

November Spread (Volatile) ±88.4068

February Spread (Stable) ±11.7497

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 95.5939 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -95.5939

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 1122.4027) against the same month in 2014 (average: 920.7864), the exchange rate shifted by +201.6163 (+21.90%).

2015 Avg (October) 1122.4027

2014 Avg (October) 920.7864

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	964.2920	927.5825	948.9323
February	938.8733	927.1236	932.7615
March	975.1589	933.5995	952.2736
April	970.6781	953.2812	960.3875
May	969.0353	949.8500	955.5728
June	1039.0206	971.2534	1007.9249
July	1109.4481	1028.6250	1053.1703
August	1126.4718	1075.2430	1094.9559
September	1145.4886	1123.8995	1139.2812
October	1146.8161	1078.3728	1122.4027
November	1083.0981	994.6914	1026.8088
December	1023.5135	981.8171	995.0187