YEARLY HIGH
1027.3601 UGX
YEARLY LOW
888.4870 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
962.6176 UGX

2022 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 1027.3601. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 888.4870.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 138.8730 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 906.5088 to the December average rate of 963.8290, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 1027.3601 was down 0.18% compared to the 2021 peak of 1029.1861, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,136,800 UGX
2021 Average 4,633,099 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,442,435 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 694,365.18 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

1010.1301
897.0887
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 951.8318, compared to 973.4033 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 21.5715 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 951.8318
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 973.4033

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 103.8984 UGX (High: 1027.3601 / Low: 923.4617). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 17.9004 UGX (High: 968.4442 / Low: 950.5438).

May Spread (Volatile) ±103.8984
October Spread (Stable) ±17.9004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 27.3801 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -27.3801

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2022: 966.8449) against the same month in 2021 (average: 942.6735), the exchange rate shifted by +24.1714 (+2.56%).

2022 Avg (May) 966.8449
2021 Avg (May) 942.6735

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 918.5740 888.4870 906.5088
February 945.1233 902.9690 927.4212
March 974.6274 932.2411 960.5349
April 977.4402 926.3723 948.9711
May 1027.3601 923.4617 966.8449
June 1022.8820 982.0656 1000.7100
July 989.0211 951.2812 973.3299
August 1001.4657 971.2359 990.2877
September 990.7221 967.7077 982.5495
October 968.4442 950.5438 961.3348
November 979.9091 950.0245 969.0890
December 979.3158 952.0954 963.8290