YEARLY HIGH
1129.8033 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1006.9676 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1064.4965 UGX

2020 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 8, valuing the pair at 1129.8033. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 1006.9676.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 122.8357 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1106.1514 to the December average rate of 1017.9186, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1129.8033 was down 0.96% compared to the 2019 peak of 1140.7580, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,649,017 UGX
2019 Average 5,552,503 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 5,034,838 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 614,178.53 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1121.4809
1008.5039
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1094.5964, compared to 1034.3967 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 60.1998 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1094.5964
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1034.3967

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 67.1782 UGX (High: 1118.5326 / Low: 1051.3544). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 15.9165 UGX (High: 1047.3073 / Low: 1031.3908).

March Spread (Volatile) ±67.1782
September Spread (Stable) ±15.9165

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 33.8479 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -33.8479

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2020: 1112.0661) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1131.7101), the exchange rate shifted by -19.6440 (-1.74%).

2020 Avg (April) 1112.0661
2019 Avg (April) 1131.7101

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1118.6951 1086.1429 1106.1514
February 1094.5652 1073.4816 1084.3960
March 1118.5326 1051.3544 1080.0135
April 1129.8033 1088.2874 1112.0661
May 1126.1598 1099.0901 1109.3997
June 1107.5929 1054.1659 1075.5518
July 1062.2877 1044.6307 1053.1759
August 1047.4695 1023.9783 1032.8247
September 1047.3073 1031.3908 1039.8010
October 1043.1835 1022.7694 1034.1282
November 1041.1717 1006.9723 1028.5316
December 1026.7024 1006.9676 1017.9186