2014 PEN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

958.2498 UGX

YEARLY LOW

873.1123 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

914.8156 UGX

2014 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 958.2498. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 6, dropping to 873.1123.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 85.1375 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 890.1356 to the December average rate of 933.6532, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 958.2498 was down 10.15% compared to the 2013 peak of 1066.4594, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,791,249 UGX

2013 Average 4,793,686 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,365,561 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 425,687.56 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

951.1077

870.5394

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 900.5956, compared to 929.0356 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 28.4400 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 900.5956

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 929.0356

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 34.3107 UGX (High: 952.0113 / Low: 917.7006). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.2990 UGX (High: 917.1428 / Low: 907.8437).

November Spread (Volatile) ±34.3107

September Spread (Stable) ±9.2990

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 16.9509 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -16.9509

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 944.3937) against the same month in 2013 (average: 931.9706), the exchange rate shifted by +12.4231 (+1.33%).

2014 Avg (July) 944.3937

2013 Avg (July) 931.9706

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	901.9281	876.1808	890.1356
February	902.1062	873.1123	877.2534
March	913.4712	895.4620	902.4909
April	913.3293	895.9314	904.9390
May	921.7117	898.4498	906.6135
June	930.4647	913.9211	922.1413
July	958.2498	927.7366	944.3937
August	937.1810	916.0165	927.4427
September	917.1428	907.8437	913.6966
October	929.5571	910.3847	920.7864
November	952.0113	917.7006	934.2409
December	947.9551	924.6107	933.6532