2018 PEN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1194.3398 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1098.5967 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1134.0597 UGX

2018 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 1194.3398. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1098.5967.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 95.7431 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1131.7816 to the December average rate of 1103.8735, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1194.3398 was up 5.49% compared to the 2017 peak of 1132.1683, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,971,699 UGX

2017 Average 5,546,089 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 5,492,984 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 478,715.35 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1180.5276

1096.9050

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1138.9380, compared to 1129.1814 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.7566 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1138.9380

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1129.1814

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 63.6437 UGX (High: 1190.7031 / Low: 1127.0594). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.0770 UGX (High: 1109.6737 / Low: 1098.5967).

July Spread (Volatile) ±63.6437

December Spread (Stable) ±11.0770

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 26.8835 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -26.8835

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1173.5590) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1099.3681), the exchange rate shifted by +74.1909 (+6.75%).

2018 Avg (June) 1173.5590

2017 Avg (June) 1099.3681

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1140.3490	1122.3493	1131.7816
February	1130.2803	1109.8497	1120.2492
March	1144.0419	1112.9087	1124.7753
April	1148.2404	1135.9537	1144.4015
May	1152.9975	1127.3565	1138.8614
June	1194.3398	1152.9796	1173.5590
July	1190.7031	1127.0594	1146.6756
August	1143.9860	1126.2524	1133.7711
September	1161.6554	1136.2397	1148.9825
October	1156.3937	1117.7661	1134.0007
November	1117.5168	1100.4838	1107.7850
December	1109.6737	1098.5967	1103.8735