YEARLY HIGH
1066.4594 UGX
YEARLY LOW
896.1890 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
959.1224 UGX

2013 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 1066.4594. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 896.1890.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 170.2705 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1051.8866 to the December average rate of 901.8325, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1066.4594 was up 1.25% compared to the 2012 peak of 1053.2523, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,332,297 UGX
2012 Average 4,751,325 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,480,945 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 851,352.26 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1066.8920
886.8271
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1002.1507, compared to 916.0941 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 86.0566 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1002.1507
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 916.0941

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 38.5122 UGX (High: 996.3670 / Low: 957.8548). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.3685 UGX (High: 925.9357 / Low: 915.5672).

May Spread (Volatile) ±38.5122
August Spread (Stable) ±10.3685

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 35.3356 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -35.3356

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 1051.8866) against the same month in 2012 (average: 895.4648), the exchange rate shifted by +156.4217 (+17.47%).

2013 Avg (January) 1051.8866
2012 Avg (January) 895.4648

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1066.4594 1035.2491 1051.8866
February 1038.6836 1025.2775 1030.5897
March 1025.6648 1000.6340 1015.6053
April 1007.1389 976.7075 992.4731
May 996.3670 957.8548 978.8425
June 954.8430 930.2191 943.5069
July 939.0846 926.1248 931.9706
August 925.9357 915.5672 920.7081
September 932.8506 917.3808 924.4564
October 921.8459 908.8601 915.3713
November 910.8907 898.4365 902.2259
December 906.8658 896.1890 901.8325