YEARLY HIGH
1059.5278 UGX
YEARLY LOW
962.1855 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1001.0912 UGX

2024 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 13, valuing the pair at 1059.5278. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 2, dropping to 962.1855.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 97.3424 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1019.5505 to the December average rate of 981.8110, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 1059.5278 was up 2.92% compared to the 2023 peak of 1029.5100, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,297,639 UGX
2023 Average 4,980,200 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,810,927 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 486,711.79 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

1055.8515
965.5187
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1019.0510, compared to 983.1315 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 35.9195 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1019.0510
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 983.1315

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was June, with a trading range of 54.8544 UGX (High: 1022.5756 / Low: 967.7212). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.9586 UGX (High: 986.0271 / Low: 974.0685).

June Spread (Volatile) ±54.8544
December Spread (Stable) ±11.9586

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2024. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 23.1174 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -23.1174

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2024: 1048.3237) against the same month in 2023 (average: 989.3622), the exchange rate shifted by +58.9615 (+5.96%).

2024 Avg (March) 1048.3237
2023 Avg (March) 989.3622

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1031.4852 1000.1739 1019.5505
February 1040.2195 989.3725 1011.4366
March 1059.5278 1034.8255 1048.3237
April 1047.2657 1012.2894 1028.0785
May 1024.1117 1007.3897 1015.0169
June 1022.5756 967.7212 991.8995
July 997.7912 962.1855 984.3983
August 1003.9252 990.0890 996.1683
September 993.0557 973.5822 984.5450
October 988.9304 971.2978 978.8199
November 985.2827 963.1568 973.0464
December 986.0271 974.0685 981.8110