2016 PEN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1079.1132 UGX

YEARLY LOW

950.2675 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1012.8832 UGX

2016 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 1079.1132. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 1, dropping to 950.2675.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 128.8457 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1002.8005 to the December average rate of 1060.1167, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1079.1132 was down 5.90% compared to the 2015 peak of 1146.8161, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,395,566 UGX

2015 Average 5,081,391 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,751,338 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 644,228.55 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1068.3306

969.7640

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 999.8177, compared to 1025.9486 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 26.1309 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 999.8177

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1025.9486

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 63.6509 UGX (High: 1013.9184 / Low: 950.2675). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 16.5736 UGX (High: 1010.8854 / Low: 994.3118).

March Spread (Volatile) ±63.6509

September Spread (Stable) ±16.5736

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 24.8226 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -24.8226

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1060.1167) against the same month in 2015 (average: 995.0187), the exchange rate shifted by +65.0980 (+6.54%).

2016 Avg (December) 1060.1167

2015 Avg (December) 995.0187

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1016.0311	989.6548	1002.8005
February	997.8847	951.8231	977.9779
March	1013.9184	950.2675	987.6075
April	1025.0224	990.7249	1012.0324
May	1013.8598	996.5853	1004.0280
June	1037.1277	997.5912	1014.4602
July	1034.6717	1005.3526	1022.8589
August	1020.3837	997.5329	1011.9713
September	1010.8854	994.3118	1000.6132
October	1028.8518	998.9486	1013.4225
November	1070.5420	1028.5900	1046.7089
December	1079.1132	1046.3488	1060.1167