2019 PEN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1140.7580 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1081.0845 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1110.4738 UGX

2019 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 10, valuing the pair at 1140.7580. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 3, dropping to 1081.0845.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 59.6735 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1108.1119 to the December average rate of 1096.2929, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1140.7580 was down 4.49% compared to the 2018 peak of 1194.3398, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,703,790 UGX

2018 Average 5,670,339 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 5,405,423 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 298,367.40 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1135.6026

1088.8930

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1119.9393, compared to 1101.0083 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 18.9310 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1119.9393

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1101.0083

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 33.3235 UGX (High: 1116.9136 / Low: 1083.5901). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 12.0715 UGX (High: 1131.1498 / Low: 1119.0784).

October Spread (Volatile) ±33.3235

July Spread (Stable) ±12.0715

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 30.2983 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -30.2983

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2019: 1131.7101) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1144.4015), the exchange rate shifted by -12.6914 (-1.11%).

2019 Avg (April) 1131.7101

2018 Avg (April) 1144.4015

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1119.3380	1091.2200	1108.1119
February	1120.3285	1099.4798	1105.8032
March	1128.0508	1115.8937	1120.9855
April	1140.7580	1122.4671	1131.7101
May	1139.3783	1116.9044	1131.0723
June	1130.1015	1111.7357	1121.9527
July	1131.1498	1119.0784	1123.0837
August	1116.3904	1085.6936	1092.7855
September	1106.9877	1081.0845	1095.2119
October	1116.9136	1083.5901	1101.4023
November	1109.5745	1087.4886	1097.2734
December	1106.9065	1081.9318	1096.2929