YEARLY HIGH
1109.4781 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1030.2212 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1084.8811 UGX

2026 PEN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the PEN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 1109.4781. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 1030.2212.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 79.2568 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1062.9305 to the December average rate of 1108.0028, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.24% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1109.4781 was up 2.15% compared to the 2025 peak of 1086.1105, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,547,390 UGX
2025 Average 5,050,907 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 5,151,106 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 396,284.07 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1112.5685
1057.7808
JanuMarcMayJuly

PEN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1080.3075, compared to 1098.6021 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 18.2947 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1080.3075
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1098.6021

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 47.8943 UGX (High: 1078.1156 / Low: 1030.2212). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 1108.0028 / Low: 1108.0028).

January Spread (Volatile) ±47.8943
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 10.1999 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.1999

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 1100.8364) against the same month in 2025 (average: 997.3958), the exchange rate shifted by +103.4406 (+10.37%).

2026 Avg (May) 1100.8364
2025 Avg (May) 997.3958

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1078.1156 1030.2212 1062.9305
February 1074.4601 1053.3757 1062.3465
March 1105.3896 1067.9380 1083.5737
April 1104.1792 1060.2611 1081.5213
May 1109.4781 1065.5221 1100.8364
June 1108.9958 1072.8425 1090.6365
July 1109.0401 1072.6296 1089.2014
August 1108.0028 1108.0028 1108.0028