2011 SAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

769.3123 UGX

YEARLY LOW

609.7288 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

672.9137 UGX

2011 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 769.3123. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 609.7288.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 159.5835 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 621.1241 to the December average rate of 653.6023, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 769.3123 was up 23.68% compared to the 2010 peak of 621.9952, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,846,562 UGX

2010 Average 2,906,471 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,048,644 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 797,917.47 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

763.7543

608.1578

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 635.0694, compared to 710.7580 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 75.6887 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 635.0694

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 710.7580

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 80.7365 UGX (High: 769.3123 / Low: 688.5758). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.4510 UGX (High: 639.9808 / Low: 634.5297).

October Spread (Volatile) ±80.7365

May Spread (Stable) ±5.4510

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 58.9484 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -58.9484

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 747.0305) against the same month in 2010 (average: 604.3043), the exchange rate shifted by +142.7261 (+23.62%).

2011 Avg (October) 747.0305

2010 Avg (October) 604.3043

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	637.9763	609.7288	621.1241
February	635.7129	615.2970	625.9682
March	647.3064	631.5674	639.4384
April	636.3095	621.3440	632.5766
May	639.9808	634.5297	637.2672
June	713.6927	636.7327	654.0416
July	697.0445	677.3664	690.2857
August	754.0236	696.7667	734.7598
September	767.0002	741.2447	750.7879
October	769.3123	688.5758	747.0305
November	702.6325	667.6131	688.0821
December	680.0355	629.7984	653.6023