2014 SAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

741.2729 UGX

YEARLY LOW

653.8991 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

692.4484 UGX

2014 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 741.2729. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 653.8991.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 87.3738 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 666.8057 to the December average rate of 736.9666, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 741.2729 was up 2.27% compared to the 2013 peak of 724.8262, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,706,364 UGX

2013 Average 3,448,255 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,269,495 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 436,868.92 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

744.8403

650.3552

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 672.5594, compared to 712.3375 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 39.7781 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 672.5594

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 712.3375

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 23.9266 UGX (High: 740.1209 / Low: 716.1943). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.7763 UGX (High: 741.2729 / Low: 733.4965).

November Spread (Volatile) ±23.9266

December Spread (Stable) ±7.7763

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 8.5768 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -8.5768

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 736.9666) against the same month in 2013 (average: 670.0003), the exchange rate shifted by +66.9663 (+9.99%).

2014 Avg (December) 736.9666

2013 Avg (December) 670.0003

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	674.7035	659.4817	666.8057
February	673.8758	653.8991	658.2289
March	684.1331	669.3240	675.3460
April	683.5403	669.3027	673.6768
May	679.5756	671.5273	674.5125
June	695.4869	678.7615	686.7863
July	710.8406	690.9378	701.5399
August	699.2965	690.8101	695.8994
September	706.9722	693.5832	698.2000
October	723.4907	704.9406	713.1971
November	740.1209	716.1943	728.2221
December	741.2729	733.4965	736.9666