2013 SAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

724.8262 UGX

YEARLY LOW

665.9608 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

689.7488 UGX

2013 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 724.8262. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 665.9608.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 58.8654 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 715.2629 to the December average rate of 670.0003, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 724.8262 was up 0.75% compared to the 2012 peak of 719.4608, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,624,131 UGX

2012 Average 3,340,158 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,329,804 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 294,327.09 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

719.7891

665.4740

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 699.2683, compared to 680.2293 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 19.0390 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 699.2683

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 680.2293

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 22.0466 UGX (High: 695.7717 / Low: 673.7251). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.5678 UGX (High: 676.3123 / Low: 669.7445).

April Spread (Volatile) ±22.0466

November Spread (Stable) ±6.5678

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 15.5233 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -15.5233

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 715.2629) against the same month in 2012 (average: 643.2006), the exchange rate shifted by +72.0623 (+11.20%).

2013 Avg (January) 715.2629

2012 Avg (January) 643.2006

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	724.8262	709.2844	715.2629
February	715.7396	702.7409	709.1206
March	711.0827	690.9166	702.6529
April	695.7717	673.7251	687.1296
May	696.5972	681.0354	689.6073
June	695.4418	687.0226	691.8366
July	693.3359	685.7874	690.2086
August	691.3071	683.6223	687.5595
September	691.2237	678.9841	684.9852
October	681.8702	670.0428	675.9919
November	676.3123	669.7445	672.6305
December	673.9784	665.9608	670.0003