2017 SAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

977.2285 UGX

YEARLY LOW

949.4609 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

964.1883 UGX

2017 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 20, valuing the pair at 977.2285. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 20, dropping to 949.4609.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 27.7676 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 964.0638 to the December average rate of 967.2971, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 977.2285 was up 0.95% compared to the 2016 peak of 968.0182, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,886,142 UGX

2016 Average 4,555,706 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,747,305 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 138,837.82 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

971.5122

955.2272

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 962.3502, compared to 966.0264 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.6762 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 962.3502

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 966.0264

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 21.4617 UGX (High: 974.8037 / Low: 953.3420). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.9545 UGX (High: 969.8278 / Low: 958.8732).

January Spread (Volatile) ±21.4617

December Spread (Stable) ±10.9545

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 9.0626 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -9.0626

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2017: 970.1551) against the same month in 2016 (average: 914.5451), the exchange rate shifted by +55.6100 (+6.08%).

2017 Avg (October) 970.1551

2016 Avg (October) 914.5451

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	974.8037	953.3420	964.0638
February	965.2035	949.8600	956.5843
March	969.9659	952.2610	962.1340
April	977.0418	960.1083	967.9106
May	973.0365	958.0462	966.2355
June	965.4755	950.2253	957.1730
July	967.0248	949.4609	961.8604
August	969.4709	955.4424	963.6925
September	969.9400	956.9983	963.1840
October	977.2285	961.8020	970.1551
November	977.1885	964.4695	969.9695
December	969.8278	958.8732	967.2971