2015 SAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

984.8365 UGX

YEARLY LOW

739.1618 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

862.7697 UGX

2015 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 984.8365. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 739.1618.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 245.6747 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 759.2057 to the December average rate of 895.7533, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 984.8365 was up 32.86% compared to the 2014 peak of 741.2729, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,924,183 UGX

2014 Average 3,463,414 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,695,809 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,228,373.71 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

998.7989

737.4245

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 793.1448, compared to 932.3946 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 139.2497 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 793.1448

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 932.3946

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 71.5839 UGX (High: 941.6985 / Low: 870.1146). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.3600 UGX (High: 801.3624 / Low: 793.0024).

July Spread (Volatile) ±71.5839

April Spread (Stable) ±8.3600

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 58.3659 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -58.3659

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 971.0834) against the same month in 2014 (average: 713.1971), the exchange rate shifted by +257.8863 (+36.16%).

2015 Avg (October) 971.0834

2014 Avg (October) 713.1971

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	772.3375	739.1618	759.2057
February	772.5358	761.9354	765.2007
March	805.9849	770.6268	785.3060
April	801.3624	793.0024	798.0304
May	815.0233	796.4843	801.6476
June	879.5186	816.8140	849.4786
July	941.6985	870.1146	893.0789
August	974.1345	913.8024	944.7167
September	982.0875	973.5553	977.0177
October	984.8365	942.6133	971.0834
November	947.4499	893.5034	912.7175
December	919.3041	877.2931	895.7533