2012 SAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

719.4608 UGX

YEARLY LOW

615.9815 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

667.8622 UGX

2012 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 719.4608. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 615.9815.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 103.4793 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 643.2006 to the December average rate of 712.7774, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 719.4608 was down 6.48% compared to the 2011 peak of 769.3123, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,597,304 UGX

2011 Average 3,366,034 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,079,907 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 517,396.57 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

721.7864

613.6780

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 653.1030, compared to 682.6215 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 29.5184 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 653.1030

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 682.6215

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 41.7334 UGX (High: 661.3067 / Low: 619.5733). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.2581 UGX (High: 662.5256 / Low: 657.2675).

January Spread (Volatile) ±41.7334

July Spread (Stable) ±5.2581

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 20.5136 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -20.5136

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 712.7774) against the same month in 2011 (average: 653.6023), the exchange rate shifted by +59.1751 (+9.05%).

2012 Avg (December) 712.7774

2011 Avg (December) 653.6023

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	661.3067	619.5733	643.2006
February	652.9850	615.9815	622.6870
March	682.8610	652.6134	661.7549
April	671.0160	661.3079	667.2300
May	669.2646	653.4931	660.8686
June	669.1161	658.3337	662.8770
July	662.5256	657.2675	659.9858
August	672.4839	660.2923	664.7862
September	682.7504	664.8957	671.0303
October	693.2735	678.8823	688.4991
November	718.6230	688.3611	698.6499
December	719.4608	706.8427	712.7774