2018 SAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1042.3818 UGX

YEARLY LOW

967.2955 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

993.4821 UGX

2018 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 1042.3818. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 967.2955.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 75.0863 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 970.5280 to the December average rate of 989.9897, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1042.3818 was up 6.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 977.2285, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,211,909 UGX

2017 Average 4,821,234 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,836,478 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 375,431.68 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1028.5408

965.1716

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 986.3665, compared to 1000.5977 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 14.2312 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 986.3665

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1000.5977

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 57.7162 UGX (High: 1039.9865 / Low: 982.2703). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.3325 UGX (High: 975.8566 / Low: 967.5241).

July Spread (Volatile) ±57.7162

January Spread (Stable) ±8.3325

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 21.6557 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -21.6557

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1023.2600) against the same month in 2017 (average: 957.1730), the exchange rate shifted by +66.0870 (+6.90%).

2018 Avg (June) 1023.2600

2017 Avg (June) 957.1730

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	975.8566	967.5241	970.5280
February	976.9985	967.2955	970.4524
March	984.1875	970.8660	974.7237
April	990.8805	980.6413	985.7141
May	1006.5806	982.7400	993.5208
June	1042.3818	1005.9634	1023.2600
July	1039.9865	982.2703	1001.6043
August	1005.3118	982.6139	994.6322
September	1020.5456	1003.5874	1013.8257
October	1019.8361	998.5591	1007.3981
November	1001.7352	988.0575	996.1360
December	996.7270	983.8523	989.9897