2020 SAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1043.5863 UGX

YEARLY LOW

971.2837 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

990.4324 UGX

2020 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 1043.5863. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 971.2837.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 72.3026 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 980.5288 to the December average rate of 976.9670, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1043.5863 was up 3.50% compared to the 2019 peak of 1008.2594, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,217,931 UGX

2019 Average 4,938,575 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,856,418 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 361,513.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1012.0620

973.7765

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 995.6923, compared to 985.1726 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.5198 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 995.6923

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 985.1726

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 57.2959 UGX (High: 1043.5863 / Low: 986.2904). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.4119 UGX (High: 1012.4651 / Low: 1005.0532).

March Spread (Volatile) ±57.2959

May Spread (Stable) ±7.4119

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 13.0746 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -13.0746

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 1003.0576) against the same month in 2019 (average: 987.8789), the exchange rate shifted by +15.1787 (+1.54%).

2020 Avg (March) 1003.0576

2019 Avg (March) 987.8789

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	989.4663	976.3379	980.5288
February	988.5516	977.0034	980.1652
March	1043.5863	986.2904	1003.0576
April	1012.4947	997.4750	1005.7339
May	1012.4651	1005.0532	1008.8715
June	1006.8946	991.1485	995.7969
July	993.7371	982.5184	987.3903
August	985.4705	975.7076	980.3953
September	991.1909	980.4410	985.6148
October	997.6920	984.2160	991.2979
November	997.2922	983.8999	989.3700
December	986.7148	971.2837	976.9670