2016 SAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

968.0182 UGX

YEARLY LOW

882.2371 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

911.1418 UGX

2016 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 968.0182. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 882.2371.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 85.7811 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 918.1819 to the December average rate of 959.8804, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 968.0182 was down 1.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 984.8365, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,840,091 UGX

2015 Average 4,316,678 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,411,185 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 428,905.70 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

966.7493

884.3230

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 901.4339, compared to 920.8496 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 19.4157 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 901.4339

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 920.8496

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 43.7530 UGX (High: 967.3085 / Low: 923.5555). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.9938 UGX (High: 901.5361 / Low: 897.5423).

November Spread (Volatile) ±43.7530

August Spread (Stable) ±3.9938

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 17.7838 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -17.7838

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 959.8804) against the same month in 2015 (average: 895.7533), the exchange rate shifted by +64.1271 (+7.16%).

2016 Avg (December) 959.8804

2015 Avg (December) 895.7533

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	928.5355	899.7568	918.1819
February	927.3096	894.3263	914.0659
March	900.3978	890.2721	896.2820
April	898.8635	882.2371	891.1918
May	902.8541	884.2735	891.6036
June	909.8031	892.0305	897.2784
July	906.2334	897.3613	901.0157
August	901.5361	897.5423	899.1831
September	902.6898	898.4859	901.3960
October	922.9235	900.4620	914.5451
November	967.3085	923.5555	949.0772
December	968.0182	947.2113	959.8804