YEARLY HIGH
991.3408 UGX
YEARLY LOW
937.8607 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
956.3433 UGX

2021 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 991.3408. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 937.8607.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 53.4802 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 983.9849 to the December average rate of 947.3197, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 991.3408 was down 5.01% compared to the 2020 peak of 1043.5863, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,956,704 UGX
2020 Average 4,952,241 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,689,303 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 267,400.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

988.2715
936.8322
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 966.0462, compared to 946.6404 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 19.4058 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 966.0462
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 946.6404

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 23.8938 UGX (High: 967.4686 / Low: 943.5748). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.8836 UGX (High: 978.0710 / Low: 974.1874).

October Spread (Volatile) ±23.8938
March Spread (Stable) ±3.8836

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 19.5453 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -19.5453

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 983.9849) against the same month in 2020 (average: 980.5288), the exchange rate shifted by +3.4560 (+0.35%).

2021 Avg (January) 983.9849
2020 Avg (January) 980.5288

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 991.3408 974.4549 983.9849
February 980.8032 975.6901 977.6753
March 978.0710 974.1874 976.2516
April 976.9007 953.4400 966.9251
May 958.5779 941.2915 947.3798
June 949.0144 937.8607 944.0604
July 950.4846 943.4333 946.7146
August 947.2699 941.2278 943.3409
September 949.1672 938.3375 941.1188
October 967.4686 943.5748 953.7968
November 954.4089 940.6643 947.5515
December 953.6274 942.3551 947.3197