2019 SAR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1008.2594 UGX

YEARLY LOW

966.3764 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

987.6657 UGX

2019 SAR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SAR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 1008.2594. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 966.3764.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 41.8830 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 987.7352 to the December average rate of 979.6513, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1008.2594 was down 3.27% compared to the 2018 peak of 1042.3818, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,041,297 UGX

2018 Average 4,967,740 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,831,882 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 209,415.04 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1006.8603

976.9244

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 991.8927, compared to 983.4387 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.4540 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 991.8927

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 983.4387

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 26.0370 UGX (High: 1005.9442 / Low: 979.9073). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.0163 UGX (High: 990.7357 / Low: 984.7193).

June Spread (Volatile) ±26.0370

March Spread (Stable) ±6.0163

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 9.3990 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -9.3990

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 1004.3656) against the same month in 2018 (average: 993.5208), the exchange rate shifted by +10.8448 (+1.09%).

2019 Avg (May) 1004.3656

2018 Avg (May) 993.5208

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	995.5263	975.1887	987.7352
February	987.7564	977.0823	979.4191
March	990.7357	984.7193	987.8789
April	1002.1863	990.1699	996.8653
May	1008.2594	998.1757	1004.3656
June	1005.9442	979.9073	995.0918
July	993.0295	983.0340	985.6927
August	987.2397	966.3764	983.9562
September	984.4559	971.5023	979.8620
October	994.2714	977.5257	985.8885
November	989.3011	982.1841	985.5811
December	988.0043	975.4155	979.6513