2011 SCR to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

101.9656 BIF

YEARLY LOW

89.9102 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

97.1640 BIF

2011 SCR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 18, valuing the pair at 101.9656. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 89.9102.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.0554 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 91.3589 to the December average rate of 96.6034, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 101.9656 was down 2.38% compared to the 2010 peak of 104.4540, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 509,828 BIF

2010 Average 468,558 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 449,551 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 60,277.00 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

101.2473

90.4599

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 95.6930, compared to 98.6349 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.9419 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 95.6930

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 98.6349

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 8.2172 BIF (High: 101.6768 / Low: 93.4596). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.8025 BIF (High: 93.9992 / Low: 91.1967).

April Spread (Volatile) ±8.2172

February Spread (Stable) ±2.8025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.7125 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7125

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 100.1935) against the same month in 2010 (average: 90.5629), the exchange rate shifted by +9.6306 (+10.63%).

2011 Avg (August) 100.1935

2010 Avg (August) 90.5629

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	92.8889	89.9102	91.3589
February	93.9992	91.1967	92.3268
March	94.1372	90.6870	92.3296
April	101.6768	93.4596	99.2678
May	101.3202	97.7671	98.9518
June	101.5903	98.1277	99.9234
July	101.6473	97.6318	100.3483
August	101.9656	97.7638	100.1935
September	101.9222	98.2547	99.8027
October	99.5433	95.8429	98.0902
November	98.7825	95.1890	96.7712
December	100.2511	92.9807	96.6034