2014 SCR to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

130.0560 BIF

YEARLY LOW

109.3277 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

122.4383 BIF

2014 SCR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 27, valuing the pair at 130.0560. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 9, dropping to 109.3277.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 20.7283 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 128.3217 to the December average rate of 111.9152, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 130.0560 was down 4.02% compared to the 2013 peak of 135.5089, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 650,280 BIF

2013 Average 641,943 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 546,639 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 103,641.42 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

130.1420

108.2987

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 127.5315, compared to 117.3452 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.1863 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 127.5315

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 117.3452

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 8.0574 BIF (High: 118.0150 / Low: 109.9577). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2933 BIF (High: 110.6210 / Low: 109.3277).

October Spread (Volatile) ±8.0574

November Spread (Stable) ±1.2933

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 4.8317 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.8317

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 128.2442) against the same month in 2013 (average: 134.1185), the exchange rate shifted by -5.8743 (-4.38%).

2014 Avg (April) 128.2442

2013 Avg (April) 134.1185

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	128.8814	127.1843	128.3217
February	128.8318	126.5448	127.8272
March	129.3275	126.6133	127.8972
April	130.0560	125.8958	128.2442
May	129.8481	123.3643	126.8379
June	128.1440	124.9253	126.0606
July	126.7872	124.7239	125.8811
August	126.4319	118.7024	123.2681
September	119.7359	117.2880	118.4364
October	118.0150	109.9577	114.4512
November	110.6210	109.3277	110.1190
December	117.4881	109.7206	111.9152