YEARLY HIGH
133.4967 BIF
YEARLY LOW
108.3097 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
121.8627 BIF

2016 SCR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 133.4967. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 108.3097.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.1870 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 119.4221 to the December average rate of 125.1527, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 133.4967 was up 3.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 128.4739, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 667,484 BIF
2015 Average 589,047 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 541,549 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 125,934.99 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

127.0224
114.6509
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 118.1423, compared to 125.5832 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.4409 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 118.1423
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 125.5832

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 16.5814 BIF (High: 133.4967 / Low: 116.9153). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.7786 BIF (High: 127.1589 / Low: 124.3802).

June Spread (Volatile) ±16.5814
September Spread (Stable) ±2.7786

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 2.8756 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8756

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 122.6769) against the same month in 2015 (average: 118.2737), the exchange rate shifted by +4.4032 (+3.72%).

2016 Avg (June) 122.6769
2015 Avg (June) 118.2737

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 122.3803 114.6858 119.4221
February 121.8613 108.3097 116.5465
March 120.5371 115.2414 117.4835
April 121.2055 110.4245 115.6819
May 119.6237 113.0649 117.0429
June 133.4967 116.9153 122.6769
July 129.9614 123.3113 125.9915
August 127.4811 122.9054 125.5838
September 127.1589 124.3802 125.6045
October 127.7165 124.5420 125.8345
November 127.1778 123.9671 125.3321
December 126.8971 123.2384 125.1527