2018 SCR to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

133.7231 BIF

YEARLY LOW

123.9369 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

130.5602 BIF

2018 SCR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 133.7231. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 123.9369.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.7862 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 126.7399 to the December average rate of 132.1840, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.30% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 133.7231 was up 0.41% compared to the 2017 peak of 133.1719, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 668,615 BIF

2017 Average 634,246 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 619,685 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,930.83 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

132.7284

126.1955

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 129.9931, compared to 131.1272 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1341 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 129.9931

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 131.1272

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 7.3435 BIF (High: 131.2804 / Low: 123.9369). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7270 BIF (High: 131.4399 / Low: 129.7129).

September Spread (Volatile) ±7.3435

August Spread (Stable) ±1.7270

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.5533 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5533

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 132.1840) against the same month in 2017 (average: 126.2753), the exchange rate shifted by +5.9087 (+4.68%).

2018 Avg (December) 132.1840

2017 Avg (December) 126.2753

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	129.1841	124.0226	126.7399
February	132.3832	125.8373	129.6531
March	132.3869	125.1140	129.4832
April	132.5157	128.3886	131.5005
May	133.0608	125.8737	131.3231
June	132.6694	130.3415	131.2589
July	131.9144	129.7408	130.7586
August	131.4399	129.7129	130.6397
September	131.2804	123.9369	130.0864
October	133.3974	127.7740	131.2582
November	133.1810	129.3962	131.8365
December	133.7231	129.4567	132.1840