2012 SCR to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

117.8182 BIF

YEARLY LOW

90.4179 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

102.5457 BIF

2012 SCR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 117.8182. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 90.4179.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 27.4003 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 93.5749 to the December average rate of 116.4404, the exchange rate registered a net change of 24.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 117.8182 was up 15.55% compared to the 2011 peak of 101.9656, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 589,091 BIF

2011 Average 485,921 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 452,089 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 137,001.68 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

118.8744

89.6662

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 94.6770, compared to 110.4145 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 15.7375 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 94.6770

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 110.4145

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 8.7263 BIF (High: 103.3862 / Low: 94.6599). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.3075 BIF (High: 113.9910 / Low: 111.6835).

July Spread (Volatile) ±8.7263

October Spread (Stable) ±2.3075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.1611 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1611

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 116.4404) against the same month in 2011 (average: 96.6034), the exchange rate shifted by +19.8370 (+20.53%).

2012 Avg (December) 116.4404

2011 Avg (December) 96.6034

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	98.1919	90.4179	93.5749
February	94.1236	90.9468	92.8441
March	95.2331	90.5916	92.1003
April	98.1737	90.5826	93.8078
May	100.6903	94.9548	98.4480
June	100.0009	95.2058	97.2869
July	103.3862	94.6599	98.2346
August	111.3992	102.9069	108.8727
September	114.0154	110.1358	111.8743
October	113.9910	111.6835	113.1801
November	115.9193	111.6251	113.8849
December	117.8182	114.2029	116.4404