YEARLY HIGH
148.6083 BIF
YEARLY LOW
130.8069 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
134.6599 BIF

2019 SCR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 148.6083. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 130.8069.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.8014 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 132.2335 to the December average rate of 137.0323, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 148.6083 was up 11.13% compared to the 2018 peak of 133.7231, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 743,042 BIF
2018 Average 652,805 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 654,035 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 89,007.09 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

137.5121
131.7536
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 133.4549, compared to 135.8649 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.4100 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 133.4549
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 135.8649

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 16.6015 BIF (High: 148.6083 / Low: 132.0069). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8617 BIF (High: 137.5911 / Low: 136.7294).

August Spread (Volatile) ±16.6015
December Spread (Stable) ±0.8617

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.5445 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5445

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 135.8144) against the same month in 2018 (average: 130.6397), the exchange rate shifted by +5.1748 (+3.96%).

2019 Avg (August) 135.8144
2018 Avg (August) 130.6397

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 133.4499 130.8069 132.2335
February 134.0690 131.4253 132.6141
March 134.3037 131.2408 132.9192
April 134.4222 131.6424 133.7400
May 135.3231 133.8456 134.3440
June 135.8085 134.0347 134.8785
July 135.6061 132.1869 134.8069
August 148.6083 132.0069 135.8144
September 136.0845 134.2625 135.2699
October 136.5198 134.4254 135.5017
November 144.1945 133.2683 136.7644
December 137.5911 136.7294 137.0323