2013 SCR to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

135.5089 BIF

YEARLY LOW

114.7955 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

128.3765 BIF

2013 SCR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SCR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 21, valuing the pair at 135.5089. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 114.7955.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 20.7134 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 116.5213 to the December average rate of 128.2450, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.06% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 135.5089 was up 15.02% compared to the 2012 peak of 117.8182, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 677,544 BIF

2012 Average 512,903 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 573,978 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 103,566.90 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

135.8783

114.7616

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 128.4710, compared to 128.2819 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1891 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 128.4710

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 128.2819

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 11.4983 BIF (High: 135.5089 / Low: 124.0106). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2464 BIF (High: 128.7675 / Low: 127.5212).

March Spread (Volatile) ±11.4983

December Spread (Stable) ±1.2464

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.1749 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.1749

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 131.5439) against the same month in 2012 (average: 92.1003), the exchange rate shifted by +39.4436 (+42.83%).

2013 Avg (March) 131.5439

2012 Avg (March) 92.1003

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	122.3241	114.7955	116.5213
February	126.8249	122.0460	124.1830
March	135.5089	124.0106	131.5439
April	135.2041	133.1131	134.1185
May	134.5947	131.2338	133.3172
June	132.3694	129.7972	131.1423
July	130.4429	127.6160	129.0359
August	128.6234	127.1842	128.0959
September	128.7056	126.8293	127.9387
October	129.0724	126.9041	127.9374
November	129.3472	126.8679	128.4386
December	128.7675	127.5212	128.2450