2011 BIF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.3506 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.8017 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0873 UGX

2011 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 2.3506. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 1.8017.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5489 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0524 to the December average rate of 1.9036, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 2.3506 was up 13.92% compared to the 2010 peak of 2.0634, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,753 UGX

2010 Average 9,592 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 9,008 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,744.38 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

2.3310

1.8647

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0217, compared to 2.1530 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1313 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0217

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.1530

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.2715 UGX (High: 2.0732 / Low: 1.8017). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0248 UGX (High: 1.9613 / Low: 1.9365).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.2715

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0248

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1891 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1891

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 2.2782) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.9965), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2816 (+14.11%).

2011 Avg (October) 2.2782

2010 Avg (October) 1.9965

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.1124	2.0158	2.0524
February	2.0939	2.0256	2.0640
March	2.1303	2.0781	2.1098
April	2.1032	1.8933	1.9529
May	1.9613	1.9365	1.9507
June	2.1772	1.9423	2.0003
July	2.1367	2.0628	2.1103
August	2.3066	2.1258	2.2444
September	2.3412	2.2552	2.2922
October	2.3506	2.0960	2.2782
November	2.1370	1.9882	2.0891
December	2.0732	1.8017	1.9036