YEARLY HIGH
1.8225 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.2650 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4962 UGX

2023 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 29, valuing the pair at 1.8225. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 1.2650.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5575 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7844 to the December average rate of 1.3266, the exchange rate registered a net change of -25.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.8225 was down 4.13% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.9009, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,112 UGX
2022 Average 9,034 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,325 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,787.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.8507
1.2433
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6774, compared to 1.3150 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3623 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6774
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3150

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 0.4736 UGX (High: 1.7939 / Low: 1.3203). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0181 UGX (High: 1.3278 / Low: 1.3097).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4736
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0181

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.2827 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2827

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 1.7998) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.7745), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0254 (+1.43%).

2023 Avg (March) 1.7998
2022 Avg (March) 1.7745

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.8035 1.7699 1.7844
February 1.8029 1.7653 1.7784
March 1.8225 1.7811 1.7998
April 1.8169 1.7915 1.8001
May 1.7939 1.3203 1.5921
June 1.3292 1.2914 1.3094
July 1.3077 1.2754 1.2939
August 1.3177 1.2650 1.2988
September 1.3278 1.3097 1.3184
October 1.3328 1.3116 1.3222
November 1.3419 1.3219 1.3304
December 1.3371 1.3177 1.3266