2012 BIF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.9685 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.6997 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7879 UGX

2012 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 5, valuing the pair at 1.9685. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 18, dropping to 1.6997.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2689 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8575 to the December average rate of 1.7537, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.9685 was down 16.25% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.3506, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,843 UGX

2011 Average 10,438 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,498 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,344.44 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.9303

1.7089

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8363, compared to 1.7395 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0968 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8363

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7395

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was April, with a trading range of 0.1359 UGX (High: 1.9542 / Low: 1.8183). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0335 UGX (High: 1.7547 / Low: 1.7213).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1359

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0335

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1219 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1219

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2012: 1.9119) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.1098), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1979 (-9.38%).

2012 Avg (March) 1.9119

2011 Avg (March) 2.1098

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.9091	1.8005	1.8575
February	1.8900	1.7688	1.7955
March	1.9685	1.8727	1.9119
April	1.9542	1.8183	1.9028
May	1.8242	1.7583	1.7809
June	1.7938	1.7449	1.7691
July	1.7613	1.7070	1.7339
August	1.7511	1.7137	1.7274
September	1.7486	1.6997	1.7290
October	1.7547	1.7213	1.7407
November	1.7832	1.7302	1.7520
December	1.7931	1.7266	1.7537