2013 BIF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8064 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.6092 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6693 UGX

2013 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 1.8064. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 16, dropping to 1.6092.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1972 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7690 to the December average rate of 1.6246, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.8064 was down 8.24% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.9685, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,032 UGX

2012 Average 8,939 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,046 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 986.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.7835

1.6101

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6857, compared to 1.6530 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0327 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6857

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6530

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.1131 UGX (High: 1.7620 / Low: 1.6488). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0152 UGX (High: 1.6382 / Low: 1.6229).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1131

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0152

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0720 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0720

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 1.7690) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.8575), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0884 (-4.76%).

2013 Avg (January) 1.7690

2012 Avg (January) 1.8575

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8064	1.7026	1.7690
February	1.7160	1.6758	1.6970
March	1.7620	1.6488	1.6926
April	1.6599	1.6092	1.6401
May	1.6725	1.6234	1.6466
June	1.6821	1.6559	1.6689
July	1.6890	1.6651	1.6748
August	1.6918	1.6675	1.6776
September	1.6881	1.6526	1.6686
October	1.6626	1.6277	1.6434
November	1.6382	1.6229	1.6291
December	1.6350	1.6123	1.6246