YEARLY HIGH
1.3814 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.2314 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3027 UGX

2024 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 1.3814. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 1.2314.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1500 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3331 to the December average rate of 1.2430, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 1.3814 was down 24.20% compared to the 2023 peak of 1.8225, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,907 UGX
2023 Average 7,473 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,157 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 749.93 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

1.3731
1.2311
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3342, compared to 1.2712 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0631 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3342
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2712

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 0.0527 UGX (High: 1.3814 / Low: 1.3287). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0112 UGX (High: 1.2963 / Low: 1.2851).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0527
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0112

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0282 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0282

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 1.3540) against the same month in 2023 (average: 1.7784), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4244 (-23.86%).

2024 Avg (February) 1.3540
2023 Avg (February) 1.7784

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3379 1.3212 1.3331
February 1.3814 1.3287 1.3540
March 1.3715 1.3530 1.3613
April 1.3580 1.3232 1.3330
May 1.3316 1.3040 1.3197
June 1.3274 1.2877 1.3044
July 1.2969 1.2814 1.2869
August 1.2963 1.2851 1.2916
September 1.2932 1.2735 1.2823
October 1.2710 1.2423 1.2638
November 1.2797 1.2410 1.2594
December 1.2665 1.2314 1.2430