2016 BIF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.2448 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.0050 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.1155 UGX

2016 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 18, valuing the pair at 2.2448. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 25, dropping to 2.0050.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2398 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2063 to the December average rate of 2.1491, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.2448 was down 6.20% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.3931, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,224 UGX

2015 Average 10,341 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,025 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,198.97 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.2240

2.0111

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1585, compared to 2.0725 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0859 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1585

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0725

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1624 UGX (High: 2.1673 / Low: 2.0050). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0175 UGX (High: 2.0381 / Low: 2.0206).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1624

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0175

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0596 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0596

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.2063) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.8197), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3866 (+21.25%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.2063

2015 Avg (January) 1.8197

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.2448	2.1641	2.2063
February	2.2318	2.1443	2.1975
March	2.1670	2.1290	2.1532
April	2.1825	2.1304	2.1509
May	2.1806	2.1247	2.1447
June	2.1673	2.0050	2.0982
July	2.0526	2.0294	2.0386
August	2.0456	2.0169	2.0289
September	2.0381	2.0206	2.0315
October	2.0783	2.0275	2.0579
November	2.1710	2.0735	2.1292
December	2.1714	2.1253	2.1491