2017 BIF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.1750 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.0361 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0996 UGX

2017 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 19, valuing the pair at 2.1750. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 9, dropping to 2.0361.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1389 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1523 to the December average rate of 2.0626, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 2.1750 was down 3.11% compared to the 2016 peak of 2.2448, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,875 UGX

2016 Average 10,576 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,181 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 694.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

2.1612

2.0536

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1245, compared to 2.0748 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0498 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1245

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0748

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was May, with a trading range of 0.0655 UGX (High: 2.1527 / Low: 2.0871). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0252 UGX (High: 2.0851 / Low: 2.0599).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0655

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0252

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0460 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0460

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 2.1523) against the same month in 2016 (average: 2.2063), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0540 (-2.45%).

2017 Avg (January) 2.1523

2016 Avg (January) 2.2063

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.1750	2.1127	2.1523
February	2.1355	2.0904	2.1189
March	2.1531	2.0886	2.1273
April	2.1544	2.1164	2.1392
May	2.1527	2.0871	2.1278
June	2.0965	2.0666	2.0818
July	2.1186	2.0785	2.0911
August	2.0969	2.0634	2.0790
September	2.0865	2.0596	2.0691
October	2.0851	2.0599	2.0747
November	2.0843	2.0540	2.0720
December	2.0706	2.0361	2.0626