2018 BIF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.2100 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.0239 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0962 UGX

2018 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 2.2100. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 2.0239.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1861 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0644 to the December average rate of 2.0548, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.2100 was up 1.61% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.1750, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,050 UGX

2017 Average 10,498 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,120 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 930.32 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.1753

2.0439

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0918, compared to 2.1007 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0089 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0918

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.1007

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.1285 UGX (High: 2.2057 / Low: 2.0772). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0289 UGX (High: 2.0783 / Low: 2.0494).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1285

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0289

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0436 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0436

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 2.1644) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.0818), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0826 (+3.97%).

2018 Avg (June) 2.1644

2017 Avg (June) 2.0818

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.0783	2.0494	2.0644
February	2.0800	2.0483	2.0621
March	2.0896	2.0481	2.0695
April	2.1018	2.0709	2.0863
May	2.1373	2.0825	2.1039
June	2.2100	2.1135	2.1644
July	2.2057	2.0772	2.1208
August	2.1284	2.0696	2.1011
September	2.1578	2.1253	2.1413
October	2.1531	2.0722	2.1094
November	2.1030	2.0504	2.0766
December	2.0922	2.0239	2.0548