YEARLY HIGH
1.9009 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.7160 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.8063 UGX

2022 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 5, valuing the pair at 1.9009. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 1.7160.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1849 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7626 to the December average rate of 1.7838, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 1.9009 was down 0.39% compared to the 2021 peak of 1.9084, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,505 UGX
2021 Average 9,084 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 8,580 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 924.69 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

1.8776
1.7321
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7741, compared to 1.8386 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0645 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7741
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8386

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 0.1135 UGX (High: 1.8511 / Low: 1.7375). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0244 UGX (High: 1.7743 / Low: 1.7499).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1135
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0244

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0387 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0387

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 1.8655) against the same month in 2021 (average: 1.7833), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0822 (+4.61%).

2022 Avg (August) 1.8655
2021 Avg (August) 1.7833

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7743 1.7499 1.7626
February 1.7695 1.7391 1.7513
March 1.8062 1.7484 1.7745
April 1.7790 1.7160 1.7442
May 1.8511 1.7375 1.7836
June 1.8586 1.7943 1.8284
July 1.8941 1.8048 1.8443
August 1.9009 1.8279 1.8655
September 1.8845 1.8460 1.8588
October 1.8813 1.8437 1.8565
November 1.8459 1.8058 1.8225
December 1.8145 1.7592 1.7838