2014 BIF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7823 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.5828 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6730 UGX

2014 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 1.7823. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 25, dropping to 1.5828.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1995 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6147 to the December average rate of 1.7674, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.7823 was down 1.33% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.8064, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,911 UGX

2013 Average 8,347 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,914 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 997.32 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.7850

1.5740

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6283, compared to 1.7176 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0893 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6283

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7176

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.0570 UGX (High: 1.7768 / Low: 1.7198). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0252 UGX (High: 1.6493 / Low: 1.6240).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0570

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0252

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0230 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0230

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 1.7674) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.6246), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1428 (+8.79%).

2014 Avg (December) 1.7674

2013 Avg (December) 1.6246

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6369	1.5926	1.6147
February	1.6241	1.5828	1.5916
March	1.6560	1.6167	1.6317
April	1.6590	1.6161	1.6312
May	1.6493	1.6240	1.6350
June	1.6878	1.6410	1.6659
July	1.7279	1.6725	1.6987
August	1.6963	1.6669	1.6843
September	1.7114	1.6790	1.6905
October	1.7392	1.6957	1.7158
November	1.7768	1.7198	1.7491
December	1.7823	1.7523	1.7674