2015 BIF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.3931 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.7707 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0669 UGX

2015 BIF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BIF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 2.3931. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 1.7707.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6224 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8197 to the December average rate of 2.1615, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 2.3931 was up 34.27% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.7823, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,966 UGX

2014 Average 8,368 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,853 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,112.16 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

2.4083

1.7661

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8986, compared to 2.2352 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3367 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8986

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.2352

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.2066 UGX (High: 2.2037 / Low: 1.9971). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0322 UGX (High: 1.8489 / Low: 1.8168).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.2066

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0322

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1379 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1379

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 2.3367) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.7158), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6209 (+36.18%).

2015 Avg (October) 2.3367

2014 Avg (October) 1.7158

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8505	1.7707	1.8197
February	1.8489	1.8168	1.8304
March	1.9233	1.8398	1.8770
April	1.9288	1.8890	1.9120
May	1.9602	1.8973	1.9173
June	2.1114	1.9535	2.0351
July	2.2037	1.9971	2.0808
August	2.3570	2.2081	2.2789
September	2.3837	2.3235	2.3548
October	2.3931	2.2570	2.3367
November	2.2722	2.1481	2.1988
December	2.2445	2.1153	2.1615