2013 CDF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.9602 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.6956 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.8042 UGX

2013 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 2.9602. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 2.6956.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2646 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9113 to the December average rate of 2.7217, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.9602 was up 1.75% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.9094, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,801 UGX

2012 Average 13,615 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 13,478 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,322.80 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2.9303

2.7027

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8454, compared to 2.7630 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0824 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8454

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7630

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 0.0884 UGX (High: 2.8350 / Low: 2.7466). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0207 UGX (High: 2.8265 / Low: 2.8058).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0884

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0207

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0480 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0480

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 2.9113) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.6461), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2652 (+10.02%).

2013 Avg (January) 2.9113

2012 Avg (January) 2.6461

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.9602	2.8825	2.9113
February	2.9226	2.8688	2.8916
March	2.8961	2.8091	2.8470
April	2.8350	2.7466	2.7990
May	2.8382	2.7816	2.8086
June	2.8265	2.8058	2.8150
July	2.8368	2.7906	2.8089
August	2.8155	2.7866	2.8008
September	2.8068	2.7475	2.7764
October	2.7675	2.7206	2.7404
November	2.7473	2.7066	2.7299
December	2.7459	2.6956	2.7217