2014 CDF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.0078 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.6617 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.8123 UGX

2014 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 3.0078. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 2.6617.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3461 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7057 to the December average rate of 2.9868, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 3.0078 was up 1.61% compared to the 2013 peak of 2.9602, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,039 UGX

2013 Average 14,019 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 13,309 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,730.29 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

3.0178

2.6453

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7334, compared to 2.8912 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1577 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7334

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.8912

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.1071 UGX (High: 3.0034 / Low: 2.8963). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0360 UGX (High: 2.7619 / Low: 2.7259).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1071

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0360

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0294 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0294

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 2.9868) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.7217), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2651 (+9.74%).

2014 Avg (December) 2.9868

2013 Avg (December) 2.7217

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.7441	2.6728	2.7057
February	2.7457	2.6617	2.6764
March	2.7811	2.7145	2.7453
April	2.7777	2.7168	2.7385
May	2.7619	2.7259	2.7433
June	2.8433	2.7582	2.7915
July	2.8991	2.8109	2.8512
August	2.8450	2.8064	2.8276
September	2.8680	2.8077	2.8349
October	2.9316	2.8595	2.8940
November	3.0034	2.8963	2.9526
December	3.0078	2.9718	2.9868