YEARLY HIGH
1.9454 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.7392 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.8265 UGX

2022 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 1.9454. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 1.7392.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2062 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7598 to the December average rate of 1.8026, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 1.9454 was up 3.06% compared to the 2021 peak of 1.8876, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,727 UGX
2021 Average 9,007 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 8,696 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,031.04 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

1.9218
1.7340
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7902, compared to 1.8627 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0725 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7902
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8627

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 0.1399 UGX (High: 1.8858 / Low: 1.7459). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0248 UGX (High: 1.7716 / Low: 1.7469).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1399
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0248

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0357 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0357

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 1.9062) against the same month in 2021 (average: 1.7793), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1269 (+7.13%).

2022 Avg (August) 1.9062
2021 Avg (August) 1.7793

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7716 1.7469 1.7598
February 1.7674 1.7392 1.7497
March 1.8046 1.7633 1.7893
April 1.7874 1.7499 1.7654
May 1.8858 1.7459 1.8052
June 1.8974 1.8492 1.8720
July 1.9405 1.8574 1.8974
August 1.9454 1.8534 1.9062
September 1.8913 1.8447 1.8704
October 1.8841 1.8475 1.8676
November 1.8522 1.8190 1.8323
December 1.8326 1.7793 1.8026