2017 CDF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.1345 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.1881 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5022 UGX

2017 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 3.1345. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 2.1881.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9464 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9808 to the December average rate of 2.2991, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 3.1345 was down 19.78% compared to the 2016 peak of 3.9076, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,673 UGX

2016 Average 17,709 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,941 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,732.16 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

3.0519

2.1993

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6971, compared to 2.3072 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3899 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6971

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3072

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 0.2959 UGX (High: 3.1345 / Low: 2.8386). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0387 UGX (High: 2.3348 / Low: 2.2961).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2959

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0387

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1617 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1617

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 2.9808) against the same month in 2016 (average: 3.7173), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7364 (-19.81%).

2017 Avg (January) 2.9808

2016 Avg (January) 3.7173

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.1345	2.8386	2.9808
February	2.8949	2.7386	2.8192
March	2.7624	2.6741	2.7134
April	2.6839	2.5919	2.6370
May	2.5921	2.5147	2.5627
June	2.5318	2.3993	2.4697
July	2.4268	2.2121	2.3218
August	2.3522	2.1881	2.2703
September	2.3348	2.2961	2.3155
October	2.3359	2.2960	2.3212
November	2.3343	2.2939	2.3152
December	2.3247	2.2581	2.2991