YEARLY HIGH
1.8486 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.3459 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6096 UGX

2023 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 1.8486. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1.3459.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5027 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8021 to the December average rate of 1.3892, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.8486 was down 4.98% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.9454, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,243 UGX
2022 Average 9,135 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,729 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,513.41 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.8488
1.3475
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7457, compared to 1.4735 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2722 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7457
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4735

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 0.2278 UGX (High: 1.8244 / Low: 1.5966). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0345 UGX (High: 1.5235 / Low: 1.4889).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2278
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0345

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1389 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1389

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2023: 1.7991) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.7654), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0337 (+1.91%).

2023 Avg (April) 1.7991
2022 Avg (April) 1.7654

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.8319 1.7798 1.8021
February 1.8197 1.7611 1.7876
March 1.8388 1.7827 1.8071
April 1.8486 1.7218 1.7991
May 1.8244 1.5966 1.7087
June 1.6116 1.5229 1.5698
July 1.5229 1.4315 1.4830
August 1.5235 1.4541 1.4865
September 1.5235 1.4889 1.5054
October 1.5166 1.4494 1.4905
November 1.5362 1.4021 1.4864
December 1.4247 1.3459 1.3892