YEARLY HIGH
1.7100 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.5276 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6115 UGX

2026 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 10, valuing the pair at 1.7100. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 19, dropping to 1.5276.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1825 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5795 to the December average rate of 1.6113, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.7100 was down 0.40% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.7169, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,550 UGX
2025 Average 6,674 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 7,638 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 912.33 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.6552
1.5726
JanuMarcMayJuly

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6115, compared to 1.6113 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6115
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6113

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.1545 UGX (High: 1.6942 / Low: 1.5397). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0358 UGX (High: 1.6275 / Low: 1.5917).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1545
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0358

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0358 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0358

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 1.6404) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.2789), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3615 (+28.26%).

2026 Avg (March) 1.6404
2025 Avg (March) 1.2789

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6494 1.5276 1.5795
February 1.6942 1.5397 1.5825
March 1.7100 1.5932 1.6404
April 1.6275 1.5917 1.6057
May 1.6623 1.6109 1.6484
June 1.6477 1.5683 1.6126
July 1.6455 1.5819 1.6113